RR Vs DC Match Prediction IPL 2026: Who Wins Match 43 at Sawai Mansingh Jaipur 1st May 2026?

I have watched every Rajasthan Royals home game this season from my seat in the

2026-05-01

I have watched every Rajasthan Royals home game this season from my seat in the stands. The atmosphere at Sawai Mansingh is different this year. Louder. More confident. But here is the honest truth about today's RR Vs DC match prediction.

Delhi Capitals are wounded. Really wounded. They got bowled out for 75 in their final diversion. That kind of loss stays in your head. Rajasthan, on the other hand, fair chased down 223 against the table-toppers.

One team is flying. The other is falling separated. Let me break down precisely what to anticipate when these two meet on May 1, 2026.

Match Details You Need to Know

Before I get into the RR Vs DC match prediction, here are the essentials.

Date: May 1, 2026 (Friday)
Time: 7:30 PM IST (Match begins)
Venue: Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
RR position: 4th in points table (12 points from 9 matches)
DC position: 7th in points table (6 points from 8 matches)

Google's win probability gives Rajasthan Royals a 57 percent chance. Delhi Capitals get 43 percent . I think that is generous to DC. Let me explain why.

RR Vs IPL 2026 Prediction Team Analysis: The Honest Breakdown

Rajasthan Royals: The Confidence Machine

Riyan Parag's team has won six out of nine games so far. That is not luck. That is consistency.

The opening match of Yashasvi Jaiswal and Vaibhav Sooryavanshi is pulverizing bowling assaults. Sooryavanshi needs fair one more six to reach 100 sixes in T20 cricket. He will likely get it today evening time. Jaiswal is 28 runs absent from 2,500 IPL runs. That breakthrough ought to moreover drop nowadays.

The middle order finally clicked in the last game. Shubham Dubey and Donovan Ferreira both contributed. That was the missing piece. Earlier in the season, RR relied too heavily on the openers. Not anymore.

Bowling looks solid. Jofra Archer has taken 14 wickets this season. Nandre Burger bowls heat from the other end. And here is the big question for today. Will Ravi Bishnoi return? He missed the last match. If he plays, DC's left-handers will struggle.

RR's strength: Opening batting. Powerplay bowling. Home crowd.

RR's weakness: Riyan Parag's personal form. The captain has not scored big recently. He needs runs today.

Delhi Capitals: The Broken Unit

I am going to be direct. DC looks lost right now.

They started the season well. Two wins. Then everything collapsed. Five losses in their last six matches. The lowest point came against RCB. Bowled out for 75 runs. Eight runs for six wickets at one stage. That is not just bad batting. That is a mental breakdown.

KL Rahul carries too much responsibility. Nitish Rana needs one more six for 150 IPL sixes. He might get there. But one player cannot fix a broken system.

Mitchell Starc's return cannot come soon enough. Their bowling lacks teeth without him. Dushmantha Chameera and T. Natarajan are good. But they are not match-winners on their own.

Axar Patel looks frustrated. You can see it in his body language. The captaincy pressure is showing.

DC's strength: Individual talent (Rahul, Stubbs, Miller). Desperation sometimes works.

DC's weakness: Team morale. Batting collapses. Inconsistent bowling.

Today IPL Match RR Vs DC Pitch Report: What to Expect at Sawai Mansingh

The today IPL match RR Vs DC pitch report tells a clear story. Chase. Always chase at Sawai Mansingh.

Here are the numbers from 65 IPL matches at this venue:

Matches won batting first: 23
Matches won batting second: 42
Average first innings total: 166 runs
Highest successful chase: 229/5 (SRH vs RR, April 25, 2026)

Yes, you read that right. A team chased down 229 here just six days ago. That tells you everything about this pitch.

The surface has black soil. Bounce stays low and consistent. Batters can trust the pace. Long mid-wicket boundaries help spinners in the middle overs. But here is the catch. Dew arrives in the late evening. The ball gets wet. Spinners cannot grip properly.

That is why 64 percent of games here go to the chasing team.

My RR Vs DC match prediction for the toss: Whoever wins the toss will bowl first. No second thoughts.

Weather Report for May 1, 2026

Clear skies in Jaipur tonight. No rain expected. Temperature around 30-32 degrees Celsius during match time. Humidity will be moderate. Dew will still come. That is unavoidable in Jaipur night matches.

Head to Head: RR vs DC Over the Years

The RR Vs Delhi Capitals IPL 2026 prediction team history is surprisingly even.

Total matches played: 30
Rajasthan Royals won: 15
Delhi Capitals won: 15
No result: 0

Perfectly balanced. But here is where it gets interesting.

At Sawai Mansingh Stadium specifically:

Matches at Jaipur: 7
RR wins: 5
DC wins: 2

Last season's overall meeting? Super Over. DC won after a tie in Delhi . That game was close. Tonight probably will not be.

Players to Watch in RR vs DC Match 43

From Rajasthan Royals

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi: This guy scored a 37-ball century earlier this season. He is one six away from 100 T20 sixes. At home. Against a struggling attack. Do the math.

Yashasvi Jaiswal: Needs 28 runs for 2,500 IPL runs. He will get them. Jaiswal at Sawai Mansingh is a different beast. His strike rate here is well above his career average.

Jofra Archer: Fourteen wickets this season. His pace and bounce trouble every batter. DC's top order struggles against quality pace. Archer could have a field day.

Ravi Bishnoi (if he plays): Leg spin against DC's left-handers (Rahul, Rana, Miller). That matchup favors RR heavily.

From Delhi Capitals

KL Rahul: Needs 17 runs for 8,500 T20 runs. He is DC's only reliable batter right now. If he falls early, the rest often crumble.

Tristan Stubbs: The only DC batter who looked comfortable against RCB. He needs support from the other end. He rarely gets it.

Kuldeep Yadav: Needs 2 wickets for 250 T20 wickets. Wrist spin works at Sawai Mansingh if there is no dew. But dew comes in the second innings. That hurts Kuldeep's effectiveness.

Mitchell Starc: Not confirmed to play yet. If he returns, DC's bowling changes completely. If not, their attack looks ordinary.

RR Vs DC Match Prediction: Who Wins Today?

Here is my honest RR Vs DC match prediction.

Rajasthan Royals will win.

Not because of stats. Not because of home advantage alone. But because Delhi Capitals are mentally broken.

You cannot recover from getting bowled out for 75 in four days. That loss to RCB was humiliating. 8 runs for 6 wickets. That is not a bad day. That is a crisis.

DC has lost five of their last six matches . Their body language on the field is flat. Axar Patel looks exhausted. The batting lineup has no confidence.

RR, on the other hand, just chased down 223. Against the team at the top of the table. That win changes everything. Suddenly, the middle order is contributing. The bowling is clicking. The crowd is behind them.

Add the home record. RR has won 5 out of 7 meetings against DC at Sawai Mansingh. The pitch favors chasing. RR's openers are the best chasing pair in the league.

Predicted margin: RR wins by 6-7 wickets with 2-3 overs to spare.

Who could prove me wrong? If Mitchell Starc plays and takes two early wickets. If KL Rahul scores a big century. If DC wins the toss and bats first (dew helps RR then). Too many "ifs" for a team in DC's position.

Probability Breakdown

Rajasthan Royals win: 70 percent
Delhi Capitals win: 30 percent
Chasing team wins: 85 percent (regardless of which team)
Toss winner likely to win: 65 percent (because they will chase)

These are my real numbers. Not algorithm-generated. Based on watching every ball of both teams this season.

RR Vs DC Cricbuzz Live Score: Where to Follow

If you cannot watch the match live, keep an eye on RR Vs DC Cricbuzz Live Score updates. The match starts at 7:30 PM IST.

The Cricbuzz platform provides ball-by-ball commentary. I use it whenever I am traveling. Their scorecard is clean. No unnecessary animations.

Other options:

Official IPL app (highlights and live streaming links)
Star Sports network (TV broadcast)
JioCinema (free mobile streaming)
NDTV Sports for live scoreboard

Key Milestones to Watch Tonight

Rajasthan Royals

Player	Milestone	Needed
Yashasvi Jaiswal	2,500 IPL runs	28 runs
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi	100 T20 sixes	1 six
Dhruv Jurel	1,000 IPL runs	72 runs
Dhruv Jurel	50 IPL sixes	2 sixes
Riyan Parag	100 IPL sixes	6 sixes
Shimron Hetmyer	100 IPL sixes	4 sixes
Ravindra Jadeja	150 T20 sixes	8 sixes

Delhi Capitals

Player	Milestone	Needed
KL Rahul	8,500 T20 runs	17 runs
KL Rahul	1,000 runs for DC	103 runs
Nitish Rana	150 IPL sixes	1 six
David Miller	550 T20 sixes	3 sixes
Kuldeep Yadav	250 T20 wickets	2 wickets

Most of these will fall tonight. Especially the RR milestones. Jaiswal and Sooryavanshi are almost guaranteed to get there.

Predicted Playing XIs for Match 43

Rajasthan Royals Predicted XI

The Indian Express and Outlook both expect this lineup :

Yashasvi Jaiswal
Vaibhav Sooryavanshi
Dhruv Jurel (wicketkeeper)
Riyan Parag (captain)
Donovan Ferreira
Ravindra Jadeja
Dasun Shanaka
Jofra Archer
Nandre Burger
Brijesh Sharma
Yash Raj Punja / Ravi Bishnoi

Impact sub option: Shimron Hetmyer (if batting needs depth) or Tushar Deshpande (if bowling needs reinforcement).

Delhi Capitals Predicted XI

KL Rahul (wicketkeeper)
Sahil Parakh / Abishek Porel
Nitish Rana
Sameer Rizvi
Tristan Stubbs
David Miller
Axar Patel (captain)
Mitchell Starc (if available) / Kyle Jamieson
Kuldeep Yadav
Dushmantha Chameera
T. Natarajan

Concern for DC: Mitchell Starc's availability is unclear. If he does not play, DC's bowling looks thin. Really thin.

The X-Factor: Home Crowd at Sawai Mansingh

I have been to three RR home games this season. The atmosphere is electric. The "Halla Bol" chants start from the first ball. DC players will hear it. They will feel it. For a team low on confidence, a hostile crowd makes everything harder.

RR players feed off this energy. Jaiswal loves performing in front of the home fans. Archer bowls faster here. The fielders stay alert. Do not underestimate the 12th man tonight.

The crowd will push RR over the line if the game gets close.

Final RR Vs DC Match Prediction for May 1, 2026

Let me summarize everything clearly.

Today IPL match RR Vs DC pitch report says: Chase. Always chase at Sawai Mansingh. Highest successful chase here is 229. Done just six days ago.

Head to head says: Even overall. But RR dominates at home (5 wins in 7 meetings).

Form says: RR won 6 of 9. DC lost 5 of last 6.

Momentum says: RR just chased 223. DC just got bowled out for 75.

Delhi Capitals need a miracle to win this game. They have the talent. They have KL Rahul. But they do not have the belief right now. And belief matters more than talent in IPL pressure games.

Toss at 7:00 PM IST. First ball at 7:30 PM IST. Watch it live. Or follow RR Vs DC Cricbuzz Live Score updates. Either way, expect a RR victory.